Outlook 2019: IT swings between big opportunities, small challenges

INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
The global sourcing market in India is continuing to grow at a faster pace
The global IT services industry is currently going through a transition phase from traditional to digital transformations like cloud
computing, analytics, artificial intelligence and IoT
India is leading sourcing destination across world, with about 55 per cent market share of $200 billion global services sourcing business in
2017-18. Indian IT services companies are synchronising with demand and have brought revolution within themselves to take advantage of
changing scenario
Indian IT ITeS companies have set up over 1,000 global delivery centres in about 80 countries across world
India has become digital capabilities hub of world with around 75 per cent of global digital talent present in country. North America and
Europe are again playing key roles as a majority of business is coming from these regions
Majority of clients are having high digital spending across verticals, which are driving high repetitive business from horizontals. BSE IT
index vs BSE SensexDigital transformation is a huge opportunityThese business transformations are creating a huge opportunity for IT
services companies
Nasscom projects size of digital transformation businesses at around $470 billion by 2023
The markets are likely to grow at a CAGR of 18.5 per cent over next five years. The industry’s exports increased to $126 billion in FY18
while domestic revenues rose to $41 billion
Indian IT sector's core competencies and strengths have attracted significant investments from major countries
The IT services sector in India attracted cumulative foreign direct investment (FDI) flows worth $32.23 billion between April 2000 to June
2018, according to data released by Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP). Higher investment to help build robust
infrastructureLeading Indian IT firms like Infosys, Wipro, TCS and Tech Mahindra are diversifying offerings and showcasing leading ideas in
cloud computing and artificial intelligence to clients using innovation hubs and research development centres in order to create
differentiated offerings. The Indian government is also taking initiatives to boost sector
The government has identified IT as one of 12 champion service sectors for which an action plan is being developed. Also, government has set
up a Rs 5,000 crore fund for realising potential of these champion service sectors
As a part of Union Budget 2018-19, Niti Aayog is going to set up a national-level programme that will enable efforts in artificial
intelligence and will help leverage AI technology for development works in country. Visa delays rupee fluctuation may play spoilerWhile
demand remains robust, H1-B visa issuance may delay project deliverables
The visa rejection rate has also gone up by 6 per cent to 22 per cent in FY18 and local hiring may increase operating cost. As a majority of
business is coming from exports to US and UK, IT services industry in India largely depends on US dollar and other foreign currencies
Thus, fluctuations in USD/INR pair may impact realisations
IT stocks' performance in 2018Conclusion: India is topmost offshoring destination for IT companies across world
Having proven its capabilities in delivering both on-shore and off-shore services to global clients, emerging technologies now offer an
entire new gamut of opportunities to top IT firms in India. Strong demand from different geographies will revive IT exports in coming future
However, fluctuations in INR may impact profitability
We expect 10-12 per cent growth in IT sector in FY19 and 13-15 per cent growth in FY20. (Arun Thukral is MD CEO of Axis Securities
Views are his own.)Look, what 2019 might hold for you!