End of mandatory repayment exemptions for infra cos to hurt NBFCs with exposure

INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
Mumbai: NBFCs giving loans to real-estate companies may come under pressure in the first half of next year when about Rs 70,000 crore worth
of advances to infrastructure developers would no longer enjoy mandatory repayment exemptions. India Ratings said on Monday that with
refinancing options looking bleak for these developer companies due to high costs of fund and liquidity tightness, some of these exposures
may turn delinquent
The Fitch group’s Indian rating agency on Monday downgraded its mid-year outlook for NBFC sector to ‘negative’ from
‘stable’. “About 65-70% of the loan book that NBFCs have is still under moratorium where interest payment is happening and principle
payment will start from first half of the next fiscal year
Delinquencies may increase on a case to case basis,” said Pankaj Naik, associate director, India Ratings and Research
“The pace at which refinancing was happening has come down
Not many players are optimistic in taking fresh exposure in real estate space, which will lead to increase in credit costs.” This may put
additional stress on wholesale NBFCs and Housing Finance Companies (HFCs) catering to the segment, with potential defaults deteriorating
solvency of many such non-banks already reeling under high costs of acquiring credit, the analyst said. As per data shared by the rating
agency, about 40% of all real estate outstanding loans are with nonbanks
The major ones include L-T Finance, Piramal Housing, JM Financial and Altico. With expensive refinancing options, many of the infrastructure
developers may be forced to make asset sales and opt for other restructuring options to meet repayment obligations, according to India
Ratings. A moratorium period is the time during the loan term when the borrower is not required to make any repayment
This is mostly done to help correct the asset liability mismatch for working capital on which investments may take longer to show
returns. Separately, India Ratings also cut the growth forecast for NBFCs for FY20 to 10-12% from 15% in FY19 in view of funding challenges
and slowdown in economic activity. “With the funding tightness being accompanied by possible asset-side headwinds considering slowing
demand, NBFCs have been grappling with a double whammy,” said India Ratings
“During this period, NBFCs also had to increasingly rely on alternative measures to generate liquidity, including through asset sales -
securitization and direct assignments of loans.” Within asset classes, Ind-Ra has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on commercial
vehicle loans as the automobile sector continued to endure its worst sales slump in over two decades
It also downgraded the outlook for the loans against property (LAP) segment.